Accepting
a Nuclear North Korea
On May
13, 2017, North Korea tested an intermediate range ballistic missile, from
their test site of Kusong which flew over Japan and crashed into the sea. This
missile, which traveled 1,300 kilometers, and was projected to be able to fly
up to 3,000 kilometers, which could reach the U.S territory of Guam sparked more
talks on how to deal with the Kim Regime in North Korea. While President Trump
has been outspoken in his desire to see the Kim Regime dealt with, in a
presumably violent manner, speaking of North Korea as “looking for trouble” as
if the country was a teenage bully on the playground. However, this policy of openly
being antagonistic to North Korea is merely playing the part assigned to him by
Kim Jong Un, and following the story that Un feeds to his people of the “Evil
America.” The United States best policy with North Korea is not to take the antagonistic
roll but, rather one of strategic patience in which diplomacy is stressed and
the United States looks to expose the volatility of the Kim Regime in hopes
other countries realize the danger they pose and help intervene.
An aggressive, antagonistic policy is
possibly the worst option for the United States as it only worsens the North
Korean insecurity problem, which is the main proponent to the country
continuing its nuclear program. The North Korean Nuclear program first came
into existence not because they wanted them, but rather because they felt they
truly needed them to survive as a sovereign nation. The Kim Regime that “creates
a comic-book style mythology” claims that they are the sole reason that the
United States has not invaded the Korean peninsula and conquered the Korean
people. Even with further economic sanctions of North Korea by the United
States this provides no deterrence because they look at examples such as Gaddafi
in Libya who surrendered his nuclear program in 2004, and was subsequently
killed my rebels years later as well as Ukraine which surrendered its program in
1994, but because of its lack of nuclear power Crimea was annexed by Russia and
possibly the most prominent example being Saddam Hussein in Iraq who’s regime
was eerily similar to the Kim’s was utterly destroyed by the U.S before he
could develop a nuclear program. The United States’ antagonistic stance
enforced by Trump will only speed up their nuclear development and play into
the hands of North Korea.
The United States’ best policy towards North
Korea is to except a nuclear Korea and attempt to stifle the program through
diplomatic means. The United States has two options in this matter. The first
being, accepting that North Korea is a nuclear power and attempting to work
with them on a security goal, or using China and other countries to weaken them
economically in order to force them to stop their program. The United States
however, needs to treat North Korea not as a lesser state but, rather as an
equal to keep the Kim Regime from having the insecurity issues that plague
them, and encourage them to continue the nuclear program. Something akin to the
six party talks should be implemented in which North Korea is actually given a
say on what will become of their country. The other parties should make clear where
they stand in the area as quite possibly the weakest country, with the least
amount of trade power, and still a much weaker military in comparison to China,
Russia, or the United States. However, the United States needs to be able to
accept a nuclearized North Korea as this is the only thing that will keep the
country secure in its sovereignty. The second option would include China, North
Koreas biggest importer and exporter as the lynch pin to the plan. Over 2
billion dollars’ worth of goods is imported and exported between China and
North Korea every year and, while China is adamant om keeping North Korea a
sovereign nation, they could be persuaded to help stifle the nuclear program if
the United States were to offer up equal trade benefits. The other top importer
and exporters are India, a country which is much more likely to be pro U.S and,
Russia who lately has been rather unpredictable. If these countries could come
to an agreement with the U.S to halt, or even lessen trade with North Korea,
this economic hit could be enough to convince North Korea to stop their nuclear
program.
In Conclusion, eradicating the North Korean
nuclear program is an unrealistic goal for the United as that would be forcing
North Korea to give up their own security. However, the United States could
attempt to work with other nations and North Korea itself in order to stop
their nuclear development and keep them from creating any more weapons. While a
nuclearized North Korea is not a good thing for any country how can the United
States be for denuclearization if they will not disarm themselves for the same
reason that the North Koreans want nuclear weapons, because doing so would
threaten their own security.
Sources:
McLaughlin, Elizabeth, and Luis Martinez. “A Look at Every North Korean Missile Test This Year.” ABC News, ABC News Network, abcnews.go.com/International/north-korean-missile-test-year/story?id=46592733
Friedman, Uri. “Can America Live With a Nuclear North Korea?” The Atlantic, Atlantic Media Company, 14 Sept. 2017, www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/09/north-korea-nuclear-deterrence/539205/
Sources:
McLaughlin, Elizabeth, and Luis Martinez. “A Look at Every North Korean Missile Test This Year.” ABC News, ABC News Network, abcnews.go.com/International/north-korean-missile-test-year/story?id=46592733
Friedman, Uri. “Can America Live With a Nuclear North Korea?” The Atlantic, Atlantic Media Company, 14 Sept. 2017, www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/09/north-korea-nuclear-deterrence/539205/
This was a very informative read. Very well argued, to the point, and easily justifiable. Who in the world knows what to do with North Korea, but I do agree with you that treating them as a diplomatic equal will do a good job at easing the tension and staying neutral in a nuclear threatened war.
ReplyDeleteWhile eradicating their nuclear program might be a goal that is difficult to accomplish, I believe it is necessary even when implementing the strategy of strategic patience. If it is completely impossible to get rid of their nuclear program entirely, at least voicing our disapproval is necessary for the position the United States is in right now. I think accepting that NK has nuclear weapons now but preventing them from making any more sends them the wrong message, and they might take it as an acceptance of nuclear weapons: a 'why can we have these but not these' type of situation.
ReplyDeleteAlso, I think the argument that we can't argue they should denuclearize because we don't want to denuclearize is kind of weak. We may have nuclear weapons, but we are not threatening to use them against people who attack us on twitter just to get worldwide attention. It's not really the weapons that are the problem here: it's how they could potentially be used.
Great arguments, Collin. I see where you are coming from as all of your arguments are well supported and I agree with you on many of your points. Personally, I don't know what the United States could do regarding North Korea without threatening the global balance and the safety of millions.
ReplyDelete